The Premier League title race is heating up as we’re entering the last few months of the season. The Manchester Derby this afternoon will decide whether City can keep up with a Liverpool side that, despite a multitude of injuries, somehow are managing to take home important wins at this vital juncture in the season. City are currently four points adrift of the Reds, but have a game in hand. Both City and Liverpool will likely have to contend with Arsenal, who can shorten the gap with Liverpool to two points with a win tomorrow. But back to the Manchester Derby.
United were on a good run of form before last weekend which saw them win four straight in the league. They then surprisingly lost at home to Fulham last week, and saw the distance between them and fourth place extend to eleven points. With an unlikely win at the Etihad, United can cut the gap from fourth-placed Aston Villa to 8. That would still not likely be enough to see them play Champions League football next season however. The season has been a troubled one for Ten Hag and his team. They have been decimated by injuries, but have also not found any tactical balance whatsoever. A jarring stat for United is that they have conceded just as many goals as they’ve scored this season. That is nowhere near good enough to make Champions League football.
On the flip side Man City have been a difficult team to decipher this season. They concede more goals than they’ve ever done under Guardiola and also don’t finalize the multitude of chances they create every game. With all that being said, they can still find themselves just a point away from top spot with a win today. Moreover, in their last four Premier League games,, they’ve only conceded once, meaning their defence is starting to tie up nicely. In a very un-City like fashion, they’ve won their last two league matches by a goal to nil, meaning they still don’t score as many goals as they should.
It is difficult to see any outcome other than a City win in thus game. United’s defence has looked average at times this season, and if City find an offensive rhythm, this game could end up with a similar score to the reverse fixture at Old Trafford (0-3). United have quite a few defections at the back, while City will only be without Grealish and Gvardiol. I suggest paying an Over 3.25 at 1.66, as games between these two have been goal-fests over recent years. for a riskier play, Haaland to Score 2+ goals at 2.60 is a shout as well.
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Man City to Win – 1.30
Draw – 6.00
Man United to Win – 8.50
